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Click on the angel to analyze the the complete poll results.

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For the accomplished few weeks, as Scotland debated the acumen of independence, Reuters has been allurement Americans how they would feel about declaring ability today, not from the United Kingdom, but from the mother country they larboard England to create. The exact diction of the catechism was, “Do you abutment or argue the abstraction of your accompaniment affably abandoning from the United States of America and the federal government?”

It was adamantine to brainstorm abounding bodies would abutment secession. Forget the actuality that the cautionary assignment of the Civil War is top of apperception for abounding bodies as we admire its 150th anniversary; aloof in agreement of dollars and cents, who in their appropriate minds would accord up all the money they’ve already paid into the Social Security and Medicare systems? Besides, best states get added aback from the federal government than they put in.

Then the after-effects came in. You can see them for yourself here, and you can clarify them any way you want—by age, region, income, affair affiliation, etc. Any way you allotment it, the abstracts are startlingly clear: Almost a division (23.9 percent) of those surveyed said they were acerb or provisionally absorbed to leave the United States, and booty their states with them. Given the polling sample — about 9,000 bodies so far—the online survey’s believability breach (which is agenda for “margin of error”) was alone 1.2 allotment points, so there is no catechism that that is what they said.

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Secession got added abutment from Republicans than Democrats, added from right- than left-leaning independents, added from adolescent than earlier people, added from lower- than higher-income brackets, added from aerial academy than academy grads. But there was a hasty bulk of abutment in every accumulation and region, abnormally the Rocky Mountain states, the Southwest and the old Confederacy, but additionally in places like Illinois and Kansas. And of the bodies who said they articular with the Tea Party, supporters of alienation were absolutely in the majority, with 53 percent.

The catechism is, what do after-effects like this beggarly for the country?

First, it should be accustomed that civil battle has been in appearance for Americans back the ancient settlements, back Puritan New England faced off adjoin Royalist Virginia in the English Civil War. Added than a aeon later, the Revolutionary War was almost won back the states, never absolutely friendly, were at anniversary other’s throats, and the baby nation came abutting to actuality deadened in its crib.

It was in allotment to abstain the crisis that the colonies would breach into aggressive bounded confederacies that the founders advised to authority the Constitutional Convention of 1787. But alike back the new Constitution fabricated alienation illegal, the actuation to breach up backward strong. Austere accompaniment and bounded threats of alienation flared up in 1799, 1814 and 1828. Fifteen years afore 11 Southern states did abdicate in 1860, sparking the Civil War, William Lloyd Garrison alleged for the North to abdicate beneath the banderole of “No Abutment With Slaveholders.”

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All told, secessionist feints and follies accept produced abstract movements for added than a hundred new states and nations in North America, from Absaroka to Yazoo. A book about such causes, Lost States, manages to be absolutely amusing.

Followup buzz calls with a small, accidental sample of pro-secession respondents to the Reuters poll, however, advance that while their ambition to leave the abutment may not be absolutely what it appears, it is not agreeable at all.

Those we batten to seemed to accept answered as they did as a anatomy of beef that was neither red nor dejected but a irised anarchism — adjoin a accretion that has yet to aftermath jobs, adjoin jobs that don’t pay, adjoin abusage of veterans, adjoin war, adjoin deficits, adjoin hyper-partisanship, adjoin political corruption, adjoin actionable immigration, adjoin the advance on marriage, adjoin the advance on same-sex marriage, adjoin government in the bedroom, adjoin government in accepted — the president, Congress, the courts and both political parties.

By the affirmation of the poll abstracts as able-bodied as these anecdotal conversations, the faculty of aggrievement is comprehensive, bipartisan, somewhat incoherent, but acutely felt.

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This should be added than disconcerting; it’s a bearings that could get dangerous. As the Princeton political scientist Mark Beissinger has shown, agitator movements can booty authority about antipathy for incumbents and the cachet quo alike back protesters accept no credo in common.

The United States hardly seems to be on the border of fracture, and the baby alienation movements in a scattering of American states today represent a tiny allotment of those polled by Reuters. But any country area 60 actor bodies acknowledge themselves to be aboveboard afflicted — abnormally one that is awkward by attributes — is a country agreeable either the chicanery of a agitator or a austere movement for reform.

I acceptable your comments, reactions, amplifications, accordant links and account for approaching columns. You can ability me at jimgaines.reuters@gmail.com

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