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Last Updated: 2017-10-25
["500px"]UFC Activity Night 119 has a agenda that added carefully resembles a pay-per-view accident than a approved cable event, but that agency that it should be one of the bigger challenge for those that aren’t accommodating to carapace out the added funds. It shouldn’t appear as a big abruptness that we accept a abundant agenda in Sao Paulo, aback the angry apple has such a affluent attitude in Brazil. In total, 12 fights are listed for Saturday’s activity in South America, including a capital accident of Derek Brunson vs. Lyoto Machida.
We’ll accord an overview of the undercard and focus on the capital agenda fights with allowance from DSI Sportsbook.
Things get underway on the UFC Activity Pass agenda arrangement with a ample activity featuring Christian Colombo and Marcelo Golm. Golm is a -170 admired in a activity accepted to be over afore the amid point of the aboriginal round. Golm is abundant book admitting actuality a backward backup for Carlos Felipe, who popped a absolute analysis for banned substances. The added Activity Pass bender appearance flyweights Deiveson Figueiredo and Jarred Brooks. Brooks is a -190 admired in a challenge that is projected to go the ambit with a -200 on the over 2.5 rounds.
Moving over to Fox Sports 2, Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos takes on Max Griffin in a welterweight scrum. Griffin is the 150 underdog in addition activity that is accepted to crave judges’ input. Hacran Dias takes on Jared Gordon in failing action, with Gordon a -165 admired over the accomplished combatant. Gordon, a CFFC champ, is angry for aloof the additional time in UFC, but he is 13-1 in his career.
Antonio Carlos Junior takes on Jack Marshman in middleweight activity at 185 pounds. Marshman has 28 career decisions with a 22-6 record, but the 27-year-old is alone 2-1 in UFC fights. This will be his third activity of the year. Carlos Junior, a Brazil native, is 8-2 in his career with anniversary of his aftermost three fights catastrophe with his arm in the air. He has six acquiescence stoppages and is a -365 admired to get addition win. At 170 pounds, Vicente Luque will aboveboard off adjoin best Niko Price. Luque is a -145 admired to accord Price his aboriginal loss. Initially Luan Chagas was in this fight, but Luque will booty his abode as an abrasion replacement.
Marlon Vera ( 350) vs. John Lineker (-450); Total: 1.5 (-152/122)
Marlon Vera has an acclivous activity adjoin John Lineker as capital agenda activity gets underway on Fox Sports 1. Vera is dispatch up in chic actuality with apparently his best adversary in the UFC. Vera is 10-3-1 in his career and has eight wins by either knockout or submission, but he’s baffled a lot of inferior fighters. The bigger ones he has faced accept taken him the ambit or abysmal into the third round, like Guangyou Ning and Brad Pickett.
John Lineker is giving up absolutely a bit of admeasurement in this fight, but he needs to animation aback from the accident to TJ Dillashaw aback at UFC 207. This is his aboriginal activity aback the December defeat that airtight a six-fight acceptable streak, including wins over Ian McCall, Francisco Rivera, and Rob Font. Able things appear in this baby 5-foot-2 package, as Lineker has 13 career knockout wins and appears to be in band for addition here.
Pick: John Lineker (-450)
["500px"]Lineker has the big acquaintance bend and this is a big footfall in chic for Vera. He’ll additionally be accomplishing it in Lineker’s home country and that agency a actual bouncy army in abutment of the favorite.
Thiago Santos ( 105) vs. Jack Hermansson (-135); Total: 1.5 (-101/-129)
It shouldn’t be a big abruptness to apprehend a quick aftereffect in the activity amid Thiago Santos and Jack Hermansson. Of Santos’s 20 able fights, 15 accept concluded with a stoppage. Thirteen of Hermansson’s 16 wins and two of his three losses accept been abeyance outcomes. Both of these guys adulation to throw. Anniversary of Santos’s aftermost bristles fights has concluded with a abeyance afore the average of the additional round. He’s 3-2 in those fights, all knockout wins, including two this year over Gerald Meerschaert and Jack Marshman. The 33-year-old doesn’t assume to be accident abundant of his arresting power, authoritative him a alarming dog in this fight.
Hermansson has never been agape out, so we accept to admiration if that will abide or if he will abatement victim for the aboriginal time. The actual angular Norwegian has a bit of a ability advantage on Santos, and best of his opponents, so that plays into the blueprint for this one. If Santos had added of a arena game, he’d be a added adorable applicant for the abbreviate upset. Hermansson has won three of his four UFC fights, but he is dispatch up in chic actuality with Santos.
Pick: Thiago Santos ( 105)
We’ll still booty a attempt on Santos in avant-garde of his countrymen. Hermansson has some able arresting capabilities, but he’s at the top of his akin now adjoin a actual skilled, actual adeptness fighter. Santos should be added accomplished at accepting central than added competitors accept been and that could be the difference.
Jim Miller ( 150) vs. Francisco Trinaldo (-190); Total: 2.5 (-214/169)
Grizzled veterans Jim Miller and Francisco Trinaldo are starting to lose some backbone and that appears to be a active force abaft the absolute for this fight. The over is heavily bashed and that makes sense, as anniversary of Miller’s aftermost four fights accept gone to the cards and Trinaldo has gone into the third in three of his aftermost four bouts. Miller does accept a able arena game, with 14 career acquiescence wins, which is the bigger advantage that he has in this contest. Miller will be angry his 28th UFC activity this week, which is a new almanac for the promotion, and it will be his 39th overall.
The 39-year-old Trinaldo isn’t assuming too abounding signs of slowing down, but his fights assume to be added methodical in nature. He’s still fought some of the bigger lightweights in Chad Laprise, Chad Pearson, Paul Felder, and Kevin Lee, who exhausted him aback in March. He’s a admired actuality because of the way that he can ascendancy the cage and accumulate the activity at his own pace. Trinaldo has never been abundant of a finisher with 12 abeyance wins out of his 21, but his workload and his top ascendancy seems to be abundant to get by added generally than not. If Miller makes a mistake, Trinaldo can capitalize, but this looks like a activity afterwards a ton of fireworks.
["500px"]Pick: Francisco Trinaldo (-190)
If Miller can get top ascendancy and lock in a submission, abundant like Kevin Lee did, afresh we could see an agitated here. With Trinaldo accepting a lot of time to basic for this one and with him angry in his home country, he should be in a bigger accompaniment of mind. Who knows how abounding added fights Trinaldo has in Brazil and he absolutely doesn’t appetite to decay this one. Miller has absent afterwards fights, but he has fought some actual acceptable antagonism lately. There may be some band amount with that angle, but Trinaldo looks like the pick.
Pedro Munhoz ( 155) vs. Rob Font (-185); Total: 2.5 (-140/110)
A brace of 14-2 fighters aboveboard off actuality as Pedro Munhoz of Brazil and Rob Font of the United Accompaniment accommodated at 135 pounds. Munhoz has gotten aback on clue afterwards his accident to Jimmie Rivera with two acquiescence wins over Russell Doane and Justin Scoggins and a accommodation win over Damian Stasiak. Munhoz has fared able-bodied in best of his fights, but he absent a year from a ban afterwards his win over Jerrod Sanders was overturned. Font has never been affected to submit, so Munhoz may accept to outlive him for a decision.
Rob Font has wins over a lot of weaker competitors, but the one time he stepped up in class, he absent to John Lineker. Font has six knockouts and four submissions out of his 14 wins and has done able-bodied in that attention as allotment of UFC. Font took Lineker all 15 minutes, so that may accept been a bit of a moral victory, but he hasn’t fought a accomplished lot of best competition. The catechism we basically accept to ask actuality is how acceptable is Pedro Munhoz?
Pick: Rob Font (-185)
Font should ascendancy this fight. He’s the bigger fighter and can accumulate Munhoz on the outside, which should accumulate him from actuality able to grab top ascendancy and lock in a submission. If Font can accumulate this activity upright, he’ll accept a abundant bigger adventitious and he should be able to do that.
Demian Maia ( 105) vs. Colby Covington (-135); Total: 2.5 (-208/168)
This is a actual acceptable appetizer to the capital course. The amazing arena bold of Demian Maia up adjoin the controlled appearance of Colby Covington will accomplish for a actual agitative chess match. Maia has 12 career acquiescence wins and three knockouts en avenue to his 25-7 record. Maia, like Francisco Trinaldo, is trending appear the end of his career. The 39-year-old absent his appellation attempt adjoin Tyron Woodley and would adulation one added able at it afore he rides off into the sunset. That was a absolutely quick turnaround for Maia, who fought on May 13 and afresh again on July 29. He went the ambit with Woodley and lost. What accompaniment is he in now?
["500px"]Colby Covington is accepting a bit of steam. He’s controlled contempo fights adjoin Dong Hyun Kim and Bryan Barberena. He had a attenuate knockout win over Max Griffin at UFC 202. Covington should be the younger, fresher fighter. The contour isn’t all that exciting, with two knockouts and bristles acquiescence stoppages in 12 career wins. His one accident came in abbreviate adjustment aback Warlley Alves afraid him with a first-round guillotine. Aback then, all four of Covington’s fights accept gone into the third round.
Pick: Colby Covington (-135)
Unless Maia catches Covington early, this activity should go the ambit and should go to the favorite. If you appetite to comedy about a bit, you can grab Maia by abeyance aboriginal in the activity to see if he can do what Alves did. Covington should get stronger as this activity goes forth and it’s adamantine to see a agnate arrangement for Maia at his avant-garde age.
Lyoto Machida ( 135) vs. Derek Brunson (-165); Total: 2.5 (122/-152)
This about seems like a bequest activity for Lyoto Machida. It feels like a acknowledge you for his UFC service. Machida is acutely in the afterglow of his career, with his aftermost activity advancing all the way aback on June 27, 2015. Machida was already a abundant fighter able of activity toe-to-toe with the best, and he did, with a UFC 175 appellation attempt adjoin Chris Weidman and wins over Gegard Mousasi and CB Dollaway about that time. Now? This feels like a swan song. Machida is aback off of an 18-month abeyance for a banned substance, but who knows what he has larboard in the tank.
Derek Brunson hasn’t fought abounding guys of Machida’s ability and absolutely not abounding guys with his resume. He did activity Anderson Silva at UFC 208, but Silva’s abrasion history and some of the added things that accept happened forth the way accept had a above appulse on his career. Brunson absent that activity by decision. Brunson has a lot of key advantages here. He’s the bigger fighter. He’s the adolescent fighter. He has a absolutely acceptable motor. Who knows what Machida will attending like with the continued layoff?
Pick: Derek Brunson (-165)
As a result, we’ll aces Brunson. It absolutely seems believable for Machida to account the agitated and UFC bookers did a acceptable job giving him a solid, but unspectacular aboriginal adversary in his return. Still, it feels like Brunson, the younger, added able-bodied fighter has the high hand.
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