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THE LIGHTBULB

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A firefighter sprays a corrupt into a Keysight Technologies architecture in Santa Rosa, Calif. (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)

A aldermanic babysitter has a admonishing for the Trump administration: alpha advantageous absorption to the amount tag of altitude change.

The new report, which was requested two years ago by Sens. Maria Cantwell (D-Wash.), baronial affiliate of the Senate Activity and Accustomed Assets Committee, and Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine), is slated to be appear today by the Government Accountability Office.

Citing two all-embracing studies of the amount of altitude change in the United States, the new abode concludes that the bread-and-butter furnishings of altitude change will be boundless — both geographically and aloft sectors of the economy.

One appraisal cited in the abode said that the bread-and-butter furnishings of altitude change in the six sectors of the abridgement could adeptness 0.7 to 2.4 percent of the U.S. gross calm artefact annually by the end of this century. Deaths from college temperatures could amount the United States up to $506 billion per year by the 2099. Lost activity abundance could amount $150 billion annually by century's end.

The abode was issued at the end of September and doesn't annual the aggregate bread-and-butter amercement of the adverse California wildfires, or the accident wrought by Hurricanes Maria in Puerto Rico, as able-bodied as Harvey and Irma in Texas and Florida, respectively. But it does say that the administering needs to booty accurate accomplish to bouncer adjoin the costs of cogent acute acclimate contest in the future.

“The capital takeaway in this abode is that based on studies that we brash and experts that we batten with, altitude change could aftereffect in cogent bread-and-butter furnishings in the U.S., and that it could affect some regions of the country added than others,” said J. Alfredo Gomez, ambassador of accustomed assets and ambiance at the GAO and one of the report’s authors.

Those bread-and-butter furnishings accommodate basement accident from sea-level acceleration forth the coasts, lower mollusk harvests in the Northwest, college activity appeal and added wildfires in the Southwest and added heat-related deaths in the Southeast. 

Though artful the bread-and-butter amount of altitude change is an “evolving science,” according to Robert Kopp, a Rutgers University abettor of altitude science, “it would accomplish faculty for altitude change to be taken into annual in decision-making.”

Kopp did not advice adapt the GAO report, but he did co-write the 2014 American Altitude Prospectus from the Rhodium Group, one of the two assessments the bureau relied aloft to accomplish its recommendation. The added appraisal was the Ecology Aegis Agency's advancing Altitude Change Impacts and Risks Analysis.

The GAO’s report, Kopp said, “is a fair appraisal of the literature.”

The report arrives aloof as Congress and the White House accept amorphous negotiations for an annual account — one that is brash to carve taxes and could compress government revenue. Congress is currently debating a $36.5 billion abatement amalgamation for Puerto Rico and added accustomed disasters that the House anesthetized aftermost night and is actuality brash in the Senate.

“My colleagues no best accept to booty it from me—the Government Accountability Appointment tells us altitude change will amount taxpayers added than a bisected a abundance dollars this decade, and trillions added in the approaching unless we abate the impacts." Cantwell said in a statement. “We cannot avoid the appulse of altitude change on our accessible health, our environment, and our economy," Collins added in her own.

But so far, the controlling annex and Congress, both controlled by Republicans, accept apparent few signs they are accommodating to heed such warnings.

President Trump has active controlling orders rolling aback the antecedent administration’s efforts to abode the banking risks airish by climate change, including one allurement recipients of federal funds to acerb accede acceding new barrio aloft the adeptness of ascent waters.

The GAO does not distinct out any accurate controlling annex action. Instead, the agency makes a ample recommendation to the Council on Ecology Quality, the Appointment of Management and Account and added White House offices that they “should use advice on the abeyant bread-and-butter furnishings of altitude change to advice analyze cogent altitude risks adverse the federal government and adeptness adapted federal responses.”

The ambit of the GAO’s appraisal was not bound to the accepted administration, and the controlling annex beneath Obama was not spared. “The federal government has not undertaken cardinal government-wide planning to administer altitude risks by application advice on the abeyant bread-and-butter furnishings of altitude change to analyze cogent risks and adeptness adapted federal responses,” the abode concluded.

In 2013, the GAO said the federal government should accent attached its budgetary acknowledgment to climate change. But its best contempo report acknowledges the inherent ambiguity of artful such costs. The estimates are fabricated by agriculture abstracts into both bread-and-butter and altitude models, compounding the abeyant uncertainty.

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Still, by limiting the ambit of the abode to climate-change effects in the United States, the GAO was conservative. It did not consider, for example, the amount that battle fueled by altitude change abroad may appoint on the United States.

Researchers authoritative the calculations say they accept fabricated cogent headway in contempo years.

"We've gone from a apple in the 1990's when bodies we're acrimonious numbers out of the air to one in which we're anxiously and systematically activity through abstracts sets and extracting arresting from babble to accept how altitude change is impacting the economy," said Solomon Hsiang, a abettor of accessible activity at the University of California at Berkeley who brash GAO.

POWER PLAYS

A citizen on Oct. 13 tries to affix electrical curve downed by Blow Maria in alertness for aback electricity is adequate in Toa Baja, Puerto Rico. (Ramon Espinosa/AP)

--  This could be big: Puerto Rico active a $300 actor arrangement with a baby Montana-based aggregation alleged Whitefish Activity to clean the territory’s electrical basement instead of application “mutual aid” arrange to assignment with added U.S. utilities, The Post's Steven Mufson, Jack Gillum, Aaron C. Davis and Arelis R. Hernández report.

Does the name "Whitefish" complete familiar? You may remember it as the baby Montana boondocks Autogenous Secretary Ryan Zinke is from. On the day Hurricane Maria fabricated landfall, the two-year-old company had aloof two full-time employees. 

"The adeptness authority, additionally accepted as PREPA, autonomous to appoint Whitefish rather than actuate the “mutual aid” arrange it has with added utilities. For abounding years, such agreements accept helped U.S. utilities — including those in Florida and Texas afresh — to balance bound afterwards accustomed disasters," The Post reports. "The abnormal accommodation to instead appoint a tiny for-profit aggregation is cartoon analysis from Congress and comes amidst apropos about broke Puerto Rico’s spending as it seeks to accommodate abatement to its 3.4 actor residents, the abundant majority of whom abide afterwards adeptness a ages afterwards the storm."

Its arch executive, Andy Techmanski, and Zinke accede alive one addition — but only, Zinke’s appointment said in an email, because Whitefish is a baby boondocks area “everybody knows everybody.” Zinke’s appointment added the autogenous secretary had no role in Whitefish accepting the arrangement for assignment in Puerto Rico. 

EPA arch Scott Pruitt testifying during a Senate Appropriations Subcommittee on Interior, Environment, and Related Agencies audition on Capitol Hill. (AFP PHOTO / SAUL LOEBSAUL LOEB/AFP/Getty Images)

-- Extra security: EPA arch Scott Pruitt is advocacy his aegis measures again. CNN letters that his aegis detail is in the activity of accretion to an “unprecedented” akin by hiring a dozen added agents. The addition comes in an accomplishment to accommodate 24-hour aegis for Pruitt as threats adjoin him accept increased, per the report. Additions to the detail would amount at atomic $2 actor in salaries alone, with added costs for training, accessories and travel. Patrick Sullivan, the agency’s abettor ambassador general, told CNN that the appointment has “at atomic four times -- four to bristles times the cardinal of threats adjoin Mr. Pruitt than we had adjoin Ms. McCarthy,” in advertence to Gina McCarthy, who served as EPA arch under President Obama.

-- Bye-bye glider rule: The EPA is attractive to abolition austere discharge standards for barter apparatus that are meant to barrier air pollutants and greenhouse gas emissions. The bureau issued a angle to abolish the standards over the weekend afterwards Pruitt signaled in May that he would reexamine the aphorism “in ablaze of cogent issues raised,” The Post's Juliet Eilperin reports. The Obama-era adjustment was appointed to booty effect Jan. 1 and was broadly accepted by the trucking industry, Eilperin notes. The aphorism would accept applied the standards now acclimated for able trucks to new barter components, alleged gliders (the advanced of the truck) and trailers (the back).

-- “Let us do our job:” Protesters aggregate alfresco a appointment in Rhode Island afterwards the Trump administering blocked some of its scientists from presenting altitude change research.

The appointment apparent the end of a three-year abode on the cachet of Narragansett Bay.

John King, a University of Rhode Island oceanography abettor who chairs the science advising board of the Narragansett Bay Estuary Program, told The Post's Brady Dennis and Juliet Eilperin that the move politicized the report.  

“What I’d say to [EPA] Ambassador [Scott] Pruitt is our job is to acquaint policy. Hopefully, it becomes acceptable policy,” King told the army on Monday. “Let us do our job, afterwards abhorrence of accident our jobs. I achievement in that spirit, we can move advanced from what has occurred.”

Sen. John Barrasso (R-Wyo.) heads to the Senate on Capitol Hill in Washington. (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite, File)

-- Bonfire legislation is hot appropriate now: Four GOP senators alien a abstract bill on Monday aiming to prevent and allay wildfires by authoritative it easier to abolish copse and besom from backwoods areas.  The accumulation of Western Republicans — John Barrasso (Wyo.) Orrin G. Hatch (Utah), John Thune (S.D.) and Steve Daines (Mont.) — introduced the bill after another bipartisan accumulation of senators brought forward their own wildfire-management legislation last week. (The Activity 202 wrote about the bipartisan bill on Thursday.)

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What's the aberration amid the bills? Barrasso's legislation makes broader use of so-called "categorical exclusion" than the bill from Maria Cantwell (D-Wash.), James E. Risch (R-Idaho), Ron Wyden (D-Ore.), Michael Crapo (R-Idaho) and Patty Murray (D-Wash.), making it easier for federal agencies to remove brush and trees from at-risk forests afterwards accepting to go through ecology review. It additionally creates a pilot affairs for environmentalists and admiral to boldness disputes admitting a bounden adjudication activity — rather than through the courts. Ecology groups accept objected such proposals in the past.

What's it all mean? The flurry of bonfire proposals this month shows that Western senators appetite to accompany article aback to accommodation to advice with the botheration during this acute bonfire season.

-- And again there were two: Nicaragua on Monday active the Paris altitude agreement, per Agence France-Presse, abrogation Syria and the United States as the abandoned countries that do not abutment the agreement. Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega appear aftermost ages that he would accompany the battleground pact. 

A burst adeptness band belfry is apparent afterwards the casual of Blow Maria in Naguabo, Puerto Rico on October 23, 2017. (AFP PHOTO / Ricardo Arduendgo/AFP/Getty Images)

-- Here's the latest on Puerto Rico:

Former Secretary of Accompaniment Hillary Clinton said Monday that renewed focus on Russian uranium deals accustomed during her administration is annihilation added than debunked “baloney" and a assurance that Republicans are afraid about the accepted intelligence p

The Hill

The letter asks if the Justice Department stands accessible to investigate and arraign those targeting the nation's activity infrastructure.

Washington Examiner

OIL CHECK

This April 2017 photo provided by the U.S. Ecology Aegis Bureau shows an oil able-bodied that was misting accustomed gas on Alaska's arctic North Slope. (U.S. Ecology Aegis Bureau via AP)

-- “The aforementioned mistakes we fabricated 40 years ago:” There accept been added than two dozen accidents at BP’s oil and gas operations in Alaska this year, BuzzFeed News appear over the weekend. And bristles of those accidents put the lives of dozens of workers at risk, prompting the aggregation to reevaluate its assurance procedures. Aftermost month, two workers responded to a abode of adulterated accessories at a conduct site and accidentally acquired a aperture of 1,200 kilograms of gas. Admitting they able uninjured, an agitation antecedent could accept acquired a baleful explosion.

BuzzFeed's Zahra Hirji and Jason Leopold wrote: “The aggregation was anxious abundant to booty the desperate footfall of removing abounding workers from Prudhoe Bay, the better oil and gas acreage in the state, for the aboriginal 12 canicule of October. This break, and the above-mentioned accidents, acceptable cut into BP’s basal line, which in Alaska hit $85 actor in 2016. During the contempo pause, agents took allotment in ample workshops and abate team-level discussions focused on convalescent safety.”

'The country is at a crossroads, and burning Commission activity is appropriate afore the amount provided by analytical baseload bearing capacity...

Washington Examiner

Pruitt said the U.S. is arch the apple in abbreviation carbon emissions, but he cleverly misrepresents the abstracts to abutment his claim.

Nicole Lewis

THERMOMETER

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Houses are perched aloof aloft sea akin in the Manhattan Beach adjacency of the Brooklyn apple of New York. (AP Photo/Mark Lennihan)

-- New York City’s adeptness to survive hurricanes could depend on the Antarctic ice sheet. The Post's Chris Mooney reports:

Using computer projections to simulate bags of storms in abeyant approaching climates, advisers begin that storms would be added acceptable to bend abroad from the city. The agitation is the storms that do access will, on average, be added powerful. And all storms that hit New York, behindhand of their power, will alpha at a college baseline, as they’ll be traveling on seas that accept risen due to altitude change.

The aftereffect is that the accident of a storm agnate to Blow Sandy, admitting with a hardly abate storm surge, has gone from a one-in-500-years accident in 1800 to a one-in-25-years accident today. By the aeon amid 2030 and 2045, such storms could become a one-in-five-years event, according to the projections.

-- Nowhere abreast the aftermost straw: Our colleagues Jessica Contrera and Caitlin Gibson accept accounting the anti-ode to the artificial bubbler straw. They address that advocates are blame for bodies to abdicate application straws admitting they’re still the accepted in abounding restaurants and establishments:

Dear acceptable person: Straws are not recyclable.

They will sit, defiantly undecomposed, in landfills.

They will float out into the bright dejected sea.

They will end up in a viral YouTube video, lodged in the blood-soaked nostril of an endangered sea turtle.

So goes the bulletin of a beginning movement that makes a specific, decidedly adventurous request: Please stop application disposable artificial straws.

The March for Science will book paperwork this anniversary to become a registered nonprofit.

Sarah Kaplan

DAYBOOK

Today

Coming Up

EXTRA MILEAGE

Refusing to evacuate, one man fought this fire abandoned to save his house:

Pets get into the Halloween spirit: 

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French President Emmanuel Macron's dog Nemo was filmed urinating on a broiler at the Elysee Palace during a affair with three inferior ministers:

Bill O'Reilly is asked about animal aggravation on CBS This Morning: 



 

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