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Oregon tech durably re-established itself this accomplished year, airy from a decade of angst to become the state’s best able bread-and-butter engine. And it’s one of the fastest-growing segments, too – software application is growing at double-digit percentages alike as the blow of the state’s abridgement stumbles aback from recession.
["3166.08"]Tech workers now acquire 12 percent of all accomplishment paid in Oregon – on par with what the copse articles industry paid during its aiguille in the 1970s. “As such,” accompaniment economist Mark McMullen warned in September, "tech firms represent both a abundant befalling and a accident to the bounded abridgement activity forward."
For the aboriginal time aback the dot-com bust, Oregon can attending to the tech industry with a astute achievement of developing a new, abiding bread-and-butter colonnade that can accomplish the accompaniment added able-bodied and beneath volatile. But with Intel clashing and new companies yet to authorize themselves, it could all abatement afar again.
So here’s my anniversary attending aback at the year’s top Oregon tech news, a abstract analysis that highlights some above developments and looks out to what’s ahead.
INTEL'S ENVIRONMENTAL LAPSE
Uneasiness over Intel’s growing automated attendance in Hillsboro was brewing alike afore my aide Katherine Driessen bankrupt account that Intel had been abounding fluoride for decades afterwards advice it or accepting the all-important permits.
The blank isn’t a public-health issue, Intel and accompaniment regulators insist. But it prompted the blackmail of a accusation by ecology watchdogs and beatific Intel scrambling to bear an air affection admittance for its new, multibillion-dollar analysis branch alleged D1X. For a time it appeared the affair ability adjournment architecture on the additional appearance of D1X, and possibly arrest operations on the aboriginal phase.
That appears beneath acceptable now, but the affair has complicated Intel’s ecology assignment awfully – and compromised its relationships with its neighbors.
What’s ahead
Intel is negotiating with ecology groups over a good-neighbor acceding that would crave added acknowledgment of the company’s emissions and afterpiece ecology of pollutants. The aggregation has apologized for its blooper and apprenticed to do added to ability out to the community. A adjustment appears close.
The bigger question, perhaps, is how this affair affects perceptions of Intel in Hillsboro and in Oregon. No business employs added Oregonians than Intel does, but afterpiece acquaintance of its ecology appulse could change the way the state’s association appearance the company.
Intel forecasts that it will bankrupt its accepted acreage tax exemptions in aural three years. Expect the aggregation to accompany a new tax accord with Hillsboro and Washington County in 2014; the agreement of that accord may be affected by how Intel handles the after-effects of its fluoride flub.
INTEL IN FLUX
["1241.6"]Intel could hardly accept had a added affecting year. The aggregation took bristles months to acquisition a new CEO afterwards Paul Otellini arise his retirement. The accommodation to advance Brian Krzanich from arch operating administrator was no surprise, but the accommodation to accord Oregon’s Renee James the appellation of admiral absolutely was.
Krzanich has a accomplishment background; James had been Intel’s software chief. The bond suggests that Intel recognizes it needs to change appreciably as the tech industry moves abroad from the PC. Indeed, Chairman Andy Bryant fabricated account in November aback he said he was “personally ashamed that we seemed to accept absent our way” and absent the adaptable accretion anarchy as a consequence.
Intel’s controlling administration alteration parallels several added developments during the year:
• Intel broadcast its branch (contract manufacturing) business. Then, in November, Krzanich aerial a key brake on the affairs and opened the aperture to accomplish any chips – alike microprocessors advised by battling ARM Holdings.
• For best of the year, Intel pursued a backstairs Internet-TV activity alleged OnCue. Then Krzanich ditched the project, which is allegedly headed to Verizon.
• Intel launched two new, well-regarded processors – Haswell and Silvermont – in hopes of advance its PC and book performance.
What’s ahead
Other notables from 2013:
We’ll accept our aboriginal adumbration of what’s in abundance for Intel abutting week; Krzanich is giving the aperture keynote at the anniversary Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas, the better industry accident of the year. It’s his aboriginal accessible abode as CEO aimed at extensive above the advance community, and Intel promises he’ll accept account at the event. Expect a focus on chips for wearable accretion (along the curve of Google Glass), the Internet of Things (Web-enabled cars and appliances) and 2-in-1 laptops that catechumen to tablets. And maybe a abruptness or two, admitting that’s not absolutely Intel’s style.
As the year goes on, attending for Intel to advertise added branch customers, column updates on its book sales (it’s aiming to quadruple the cardinal of Intel-based tablets this year, to 40 million). But don’t attending for college sales: Intel projects a third beeline year of collapsed revenue.
STARTUP SURGE
Oregon tech entrepreneurs enjoyed their better banknote beverage aback the dot-com era in the aboriginal several weeks of 2013, with a leash of startups – Janrain, Puppet Labs and Urban Airship – collectively announcement about $90 actor in adventure backing.
["388"]The aftereffect was a access of hiring at those three companies and at Jama Software, which arise a $13 actor adventure advance in August. Oregon, which hasn’t had a tech IPO aback 2004, now has several companies in the mix.
Overall, though, 2013 was not a big year for adventure investment. The additional and third abode were absolute chilly. In my view, though, the air-conditioned advance account – accompanying with the job advance beyond the tech industry – tells an auspicious story.
If Oregon is growing tech jobs afterwards new advance or debt, companies charge be advantageous those accomplishment with article else: New revenue.
What’s ahead
Viewpoint Architecture Software (formerly Coaxis) says it ability go out for an IPO as aboriginal as 2014. Viewpoint isn’t a startup, but its accelerated sales advance (with acquirement advancing $100 actor in 2013) is emblematic of Oregon’s accretion software sector.
I’ll be watching for signs of calibration from a array of able startups transitioning into big companies: Puppet, Urban, Janrain, Jama, Elemental Technologies, Act-On Software and Simple. Elemental, the better of the bunch, has a big year advanced with the addition of a new video accepted that could addition address for the Portland company’s encoding tools.
TALENT SHORTAGE
This is a acceptable botheration to have, right? Oregon tech is growing so fast that the state’s assignment force can’t accumulate up with the industry’s demand.
Sure, but it’s still a problem. For Salesforce.com, eBay and Intel, the amount of accomplishing business in Oregon is still able-bodied beneath what it costs to accomplish in the Bay Area. But early-stage startups on cartel budgets can’t pay a exceptional – and they’ll never get off the arena if they can’t acquisition developers to body their products.
A artisan curtailment could put banned on the advance of added accustomed startups, or it could force some of them to attending abroad (Seattle, the Bay Area) for their workers. Outposts could, in time, about-face or cesspool assets from Oregon. It’s happened abounding times afore (most abundantly with Jive Software.)
The tech industry’s acute acknowledgment to Oregon State’s adjournment of Terri Fiez as arch of the Electrical Engineering and Computer Science affairs may be cogitating of the affair that Oregon isn’t growing abundant tech aptitude to accommodated approaching demand.
What’s ahead
["771.15"]I’ll be watching allowance ante carefully and will be watching as Portland’s amount startups grow. How abundant of that advance is here, and how abundant hiring happens elsewhere?
OLD TECH REBOOTS
The acquaintance companies that thrived in the ‘80s and ‘90s produced Oregon’s aboriginal ample tech boom. They haven’t gone away, admitting they no best accomplish headlines. Radisys, TriQuint Semiconductor, Lattice Semiconductor, Planar Systems, Mentor Graphics and FEI Co. accept all endured. (Though some accept done little added than that.)
Mentor and FEI are absolutely adequate their best years yet, acknowledgment to articles that the resurgent tech abridgement absolutely needs. Others, such as Lattice, Planar and Radisys are active aggravating to reinvent themselves.
These crumbling companies don’t accept the aerial beam that accord startups such appeal, but they are still the better companies based in Oregon. So their success, or abridgement thereof, can accept a big appulse on the state’s tech economy.
What’s ahead
Radisys appears in 18-carat trouble. Shares accept been sliding aback July, aback the aggregation arise affairs to acutely abate spending – and anticipation bargain sales indefinitely. Investors aren’t affairs the turnaround story.
Mobile chipmaker TriQuint, accepting bootless to banknote in on the smartphone boom, now charge argue with a agitator broker who wants the Hillsboro aggregation to attending at breaking up or shutting bottomward genitalia of its business. For the time being, though, best investors arise agreeable to delay in hopes that TriQuint will bear the college sales it promises in 2014. Its banal ends 2013 about bifold area it started the year.
DATA CENTERS
Apple, Amazon, Google and Facebook fabricated abstracts centers big account in Oregon tech in 2011 and 2012. No new aggregation arise affairs for a big Oregon abstracts centermost this year – but there was still affluence of growth.
Google won tax break to accounts a $600 actor amplification in The Dalles, Apple eyed acreage to aggrandize in Prineville, and Facebook opened its “cold storage” ability up the street.
What’s next
["388"]Data centers’ activity use may alert a election admeasurement this year that would cycle aback some of the state’s apple-pie activity requirements. Amazon’s power-hungry abstracts centers at the Port of Morrow could put the Umatilla Electric Cooperative in abuse of a accompaniment law that sets renewable activity targets for big utilities.
The Umatilla account acclimated to be too baby to authorize – but with Amazon sucking up megawatts, that could change. My aide Jeff Mapes letters that Umatilla Electric wants absolute hydropower assets to calculation as renewable activity for the purposes of the law. Critics say that would capsize the law’s goals.
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